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Hello visitors, followers, serious punters, newbies and friends. Here is the short explanation about MilosNS market rules and other stuff. I will try to explain this service as better as possible. Milos NS mailing list:
1. Which sports will be covered?
I cover mainly Brazilian and South American football (almost all leagues beside Argentina), but sometimes (around 30% of picks) there will be also picks from basketball (Adriatic league, Euro League and Spanish ACB League), sometimes some other football event if I think it is good enough for me to play it.
2. What number of picks is expected?
Probably around 20-60 per month, but it really depends on a lot of aspects (intensity of action in leagues I cover).
3. Staking methods:
Single picks, asian handicap mainly, but sometimes ML betting and U/O betting. Staking is mainly 6 to 8/10, few times per season I have 9-10/10 picks (maybe 2 or 3 times per season).
4. Deadline for posting picks?
Will try to send mail as soon as I decide that is worth playing. Sometimes it is even before asia gets out with odds, mostly 24-12 hours before kick off. In general I wait at least 2 biggest asian bookies (188bet and SBO) to get out with decent limits.
5. Bookmakers used:
I think every paid service/tipster should provide picks from high-limits bookmakers, that’s why I’ll use Pinnacle, SBO, 188bet and for some rare leagues I use Bwin, Bet365 or other Euro bookies.
6. Will (extensive) analysis be given?
There’ll be analysis for every pick, I do not believe in plain picks, paying customer should always know where and why he is placing his money. I will try to fully write why do I think it is good to play that pick.
7. What is the price of mailing list?
I know it’s not easy to spend money on paid picks, especially with a lot of unproven guys around, so I will try to be as cheap as possible and I can this package.
Premium (Brazil football + rest S.American football + basketball):
1 month – 60e
3 months – discount
6 months – discount
12 months – discount
8. What happens if I get a losing month?
Client get next month free, Premium package.
For any questions u might have, please feel free to contact me.
Question about dropping odds... Well they tend to drop, but I mostly wait market to be big and wide, so if u have various accounts you may get good odds.
Thank you, MilosNS
Pick: Once Caldas (-0.5) Result: 1-0
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.93
Posted: May 29, 2011, 12:00
Second leg of Colombian 1/4 finals. In the first lag, few days ago Millonarios won 1-0 at home. Game started balanced, and in 19th minute home team scored goal. After that goal Once Caldas took the game into their hands and started to press. That balance did not change till end of the game, but Millonarios keeper was simply great and he saved at least 5 certain goals. Now in second leg there is not many misteries. Both teams with similar or same teams, Once with same offensive scheme, and Millonarios with 2 changes (one player injured, other suspended).
After watching the first game, I have no doubts. Once Caldas is better team and I believe they will win tonight.
Try it, u won't regret it...
Pick: Cruzeiro (-0.5) Result: 1-1
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.87
Posted: May 28, 2011, 11:36
What a bad result for Raposa in the first round of championship. They lost to Figueirense 1-0, despite they have been better side in whole game, but they failed to cash the chances they made, and like always in football Figueirense punished them. Well to be precise, keeper boxed one ball from corner, hit his own man into back and ball went into net... Now they have on paper much harder task in the second round to try and win their first game in this championship. Palmeiras is coming to town. For this game Cruzeiro will have more less all available players ready, and coach only have one doubt, to play with 2 or 3 forwards, and that is showing that he is determined to go and get the three points in this game.
Palmeiras won their first game 1-0 against Botafogo. Kleber was the scorer and no doubt that was most beautiful goal in the first round. But watching that 90 + minutes was such a boring experience for me (I had luck and watched re-run so I could pause the game and fast forward it), I might got eye cancer from watching it. Boring, boring, boring game, where both teams showed NOTHING. Palmeiras played only to get free kicks, so they could shoot from them (they have excellent taker in Marcos Assuncao) but except that wonderful goal nothing interesting happened in that game. For this game Scollari have several important players miss with injuries: Valdivia, Lincoln, Wellington Paulista and Rivaldo. Also right lateral Patrik is very doubtful with eye problems (maybe he watched last weeks game twice).
All in all nothing changed from last week. Cruzeiro is top 3 team in Brazil, while Palmeiras is solid, but only for outside Copa Libertadores spot. Line is fair, but the odds are way to big here.
Pick: Bolivar Result: 2-1
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.4
Posted: May 28, 2011, 11:34
Again game in my eyes that is close to banker. Bolivar and Real Potosi are tied at first place and play last round for championship title. Bolivar with full team, and La Paz is one of the worst teams in the Bolivian league.
4 sure THE BEST ODDS!!!
Pick: Gremio Barueri Result: 3-2
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 2.17
Posted: May 27, 2011, 06:56
Despite Gremio Barueri is complete mistery to me I will place this bet against Bragantino, team that had poor State championship and it is touted as one of the main relegation candidates. They played only 1-1 in their first home game against ABC, while Barueri gave nice fight to big favorites Goias. For Barueri 5 new players in team as they got their registration.
« Last edited: Jan 11, 2013, 13:44:46 by MilosNS »
Pick: Internacional (-1) Result: 0-1
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.73
Posted: May 26, 2011, 08:27
Short and sweet here. Ceara played pretty bad in first round, plus they had 1/2 of Copa Brasil last night and lost. Team tired and with low morale no doubt. On the other hand Internacional better team all around, played excellent against Santos in first round and rarely lose at home in Porto Alegre.
Fair line is -1.5 IMHO
Great sportsbook, with fantastic odds
Pick: Portuguesa Result: 1-1
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 2.9
Posted: May 24, 2011, 06:52
Well this is something I call big under estimation of one team. In the first round Parana played against relegation candidate and rookie in Serie B, Ituiutaba and after all around bad performance managed to win 2-1, despite trailing 0-1 form the start of the second half. All in all that was maybe the worst game in all 1st round, and both teams showed they still need a lot of work if they want to compete in some level in this league. But after that win, Parana coach, Ricardo Pinto seems to lost his compass. Now his mouth are full with promotion talk and he refers to this game against Portuguesa as early promotion derby. Just to remind you all that Parana had terrible State championship, they have big financial problems, fans are turned their back to club, unkown players as reinforcements etc. For this game coach can't count on some players: defender Paulo Miranda, midfielder Júnior Urso, and wingers Jefferson and Ronê Dias.
Portuguesa also won their first game, against much stronger opponent, Nautico, on much better way, with excellent performance and 4 goals in opponents net. Their coach is cautious, and he told the press he will field same team as few days ago against Nautico. Also, best forward, newcomer from Bahia, Jael is served his suspension from last season and will be on the bench.
This is exactly the thing I hoped to see here. Very wrong line due early season and bookies over estimation of Parana after first round. Fair line is quite opposite, -0.25 on Portuguesa IMHO.
+0.25 line for mailing list users
Pick: Cruzeiro (-0.25) Result: 1-0
Stake: 8/10 Odds: 2
Posted: May 20, 2011, 14:45
Figueirense is back to Serie A after 2 years. They have new coach, Jorginho (a former Brazil fullback and Dunga’s former right-hand man). He has done an impressive job thus far, but his squad looks rather short of star quality.Of course their mouth are full of promises before this game, but at the moment they lack quality up front big time. This week they signed two new forwards, but both can't play in this first round.
Cruzeiro aka Raposa (Fox) is IMHO the number one candidate for title this year. Maybe Santos has better coach and more flashy players in Ganso and Neymar, but Raposa was and still is for me maybe the...
...best team in South America at the moment (well they are head to head with Velez to be precise). Wallyson, Ortigoza and Leandro Guerreiro (an astute signing from Botafogo) have been added to a squad that includes Thiago Ribeiro, Gilberto (ex Tottenham), highly rated keeper Fábio lopes and Argentine Walter Montillo. With one of the most settled squads in Brazil, Cruzeiro have become known for their consistency. They have excellent keeper, rock solid back and lethal attack. For this game coach will field the best possible formation.
Maybe it is early in the season, but Raposa is full of rage for Copa Libertadores exit and they still remember end of the last season when they were robbed of title, so I expect one motivated and victory hungry Cruzeiro. This line is bad, I expected low -0.5... Bad, bad line...
I use it... EVERY DAY!!!
Pick: Flamengo (-1) Result: 4-0
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.92
Posted: May 20, 2011, 08:26
Season starts and one of the favorites in my eyes besides Cruzeiro is Flamengo with Vanderley Luxemburgo on the helm and Ronaldinho on the field. Flamengo had excellent Carioca state championship and they played good in Brazil Cup (but were eliminated in 1/4 finals) and they lost just 2 games in last 30 encounters. Only player not ready is lateral Leandro Moura, who is still fighting with knee injury that bugs him all spring.
Avai is solid team for years now. Their stronghold is their home field where they get most of the points. Plus Avai played...
...1/2 finals of Copa Brazil just few days ago, they have excellent result in first leg and there is no need to be doctor to see that they will prioritize Cup over championship in this point. For this game coach can't count on at least 3 players: semi regular midfielder Revson (8/0), important midfielder Diogo Orlando (12/0) and forward/best scorer Willian (11/9). Also one of the best keepers in Brazil, Renan is very doubtful with muscle problems. Coach can count on returns of defender Cássio (10/0), winger Estrada (7/2) and forward Rafael Coelho (14/7).
Flamengo knows they need to set the pace from the start of this championship and perfect opportunity is against at the moment not very interested Avai.
1.95 for mailing list users
Pick: Bolivar Result: 4-0
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.35
Posted: May 20, 2011, 07:51
Combo material, for those who like that... I doubt modest Mamore will be able to cope with Bolivar who is in title hunt.
Try it, u won't regret it...
Pick: Vitoria (-1) Result: 1-0
Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.82
Posted: May 20, 2011, 07:09
Last season started excellent for Vitoria, but ended in tears. They were so close to win Copa Brasil, but eventually lost it to Santos, and at the end of the year they were relegated from Serie A after they finished at 17th place and with same number of points as Atl GO, but worse mutual record. At home they had more than good record last season with 7-8-4, but some of those draws cost them relegation. This season they played in...
in Baiano state and finished first round on 1st position with 8-2-2 record, second round with 5-1-0 record, and eventually lost to Bahia in final of state championship. They were on of the best teams overall in all state championships with 82% of win games. After state they lost the coach and yesterday they signed Geninho (ex Atletico PR) who rejected several other clubs to work here. He trained last season Sport Recife in the moment when they were 16th in Serie B and with him on the helm they finished 6th. Good, experienced coach no doubt. For this game Genino will be on the stands, but he is already with team, and two players can't play on this game: regular defended Alison (his father is in hospital) and semi regular lateral Eduardo Neto (injured).
Vila Nova seems to repeat same mistakes from last year. For those who are with me for some time, remember that we "discovered" Vila Nova problems first and we were against them several time while odds were good. They had solid state championship, lost in 1/2 finals of Goiano state to Goias, but board refused to reinforce team for Serie B and that can be very tricky. It isn't the same level to play 2 hard games and 10 games against low league teams like in State and to play against hungry solid teams in Serie B.
We have game between two teams who are going in different directions at the moment. Vitoria is motivated all around while Vila Nova is pretty uninterested. New coach on the stands means more determination at home players to show they deserve place in the team, plus excellent support from the fans Vitoria always has.
1.91 for mailing list users